Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 8.1 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 5.1 mark last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while playing on the road (which also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year when playing on the road.
The Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Hawks have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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