Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted 8.1 shots per game this season, significantly more than his 5.1 rate last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 35.4% more than he's made overall this season.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA this year when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for scoring; opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-highest field goal percentage in the league this year with the home court advantage (45.1%).

Favors Under

The Rockets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year while at home (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year in their home city, which should decrease opportunities for the Rockets.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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