Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 30.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 22.2 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has failed to make 4.7 shot attempts from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 3.0 rate last year.
The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one for three-point attempts; while on their home court, opposing clubs have tallied the 10th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (34.7).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production across the board.

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