Dennis Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made 4.9 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dennis Smith Jr. has played 29.3 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (which also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 21.2 foul shots per game on his home court this year (most [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made a measly 46.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly less than his 64.0 rate last year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (91st percentile).
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the other team have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (38.4).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance across the board.

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