Dennis Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. lands in the 24th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a an unimpressive 26.5% rate this year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat are away from home (36.4).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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