Dennis Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of 3-point shots, the Brooklyn Nets's fantastic 42.0% rate of made threes comes in as the best in the NBA this year.
When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has successfully made a measly 16.7% of his three-pointers this year, significantly less than his 18.5 mark last year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has attempted a mere 1.0 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.0 mark last season.
This year, opposing squads have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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