Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 4.4 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent games: 87th percentile.
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will likely see a rise in performance for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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