Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing at home, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has totaled a measly 3.9 assists per game this year, significantly less than his 4.8 assists per game last year.
Relative to last year's 25.7 rate, Dennis Smith Jr.'s playing time has declined this year to 19.6 minutes per game.
Dennis Smith Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nets.
The Nets are expected to see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

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