Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.0 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied a measly 3.9 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.8 assists per game last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has been on the court for a lowly 19.8 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 25.7 minutes per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nets.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.

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