Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has totaled just 4.0 assists per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.8 assists per game last year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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