Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Nets.
The Nets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up a lowly 4.0 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.8 assists per game last season.
Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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