Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up 4.5 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 88th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 13thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Dennis Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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