Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 7.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 14thbest in in the league while on their home court with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Dennis Smith Jr. should get a boost in efficiency across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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