Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has posted 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Nets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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