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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has compiled 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

More Dennis Smith Jr. Player Props

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