Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has compiled 4.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's compiled over the course of the season.
The Nets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dennis Smith Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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