Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has compiled 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.
The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Pistons have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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