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Dennis Smith Jr.

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+139/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -182.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied a lowly 3.0 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.8 assists per game last season.

The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.

The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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