Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-speediest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. is expected to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied just 2.8 assists per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.8 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. registers in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.0 fouls per game away from home this year.

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