Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 4.6 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 88th percentile.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Smith Jr. rates in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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