Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has compiled 4.6 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 87th percentile.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has come down with 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Dennis Smith Jr. is expected to see a spike in production for all stats considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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