Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has compiled 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's compiled overall this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which should lead to more possessions for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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