Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 9:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 4.1 assists per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should decrease plays for the Hornets.

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