Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up 4.0 assists per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Hornets.

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