Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has totaled 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hornets.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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