Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up 3.7 assists per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hornets.
On the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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