Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has put up 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.1 higher than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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