Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has posted 5.0 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard in recent games.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat.

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