Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has averaged 5.5 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while playing on the road (which also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year when playing on the road.
The Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Dennis Smith Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Hawks have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dennis Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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