Dennis Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Dennis Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Dennis Smith Jr.

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dennis Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Smith Jr. has posted 5.3 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA by this standard in recent games: 92nd percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Dennis Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production across the board.

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