Dennis Schroder Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dennis Schroder

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:49 AM UTC

Analysis

Dennis Schroder Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dennis Schroder has attempted 11.8 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dennis Schroder has played 31.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dennis Schroder has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to threes.
The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
When playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 24.9 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).
Dennis Schroder will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production for all stats.