Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 5.2 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's best by this standard in recent days.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Washington Wizards.
Deni Avdija will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

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