Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has tallied 4.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent days.
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Wizards grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija figures to experience a decrease in performance across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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