Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 4.6 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 86th percentile.
The speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have grabbed 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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