Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has posted 5.4 defensive rebounds per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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