Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 5.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Deni Avdija has played 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.8 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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