Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 4.8 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 84th percentile.
Deni Avdija has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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