Deni Avdija Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has posted 4.8 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard in recent days: 84th percentile.
Deni Avdija has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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