Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2026

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 12, 2026

Updated Apr 12, 2026 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's put up overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Trail Blazers's subpar 45.4% field goal percentage places 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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