Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2026

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 6, 2026

Updated Feb 7, 2026 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 33.6% rate of successful threes rates weakest in the NBA this year.

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