Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2026

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Jan 22, 2026

Updated Jan 23, 2026 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has tallied 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 33.6% rate of successful threes while at home ranks 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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