Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2026

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 3, 2026

Updated Jan 4, 2026 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 50.2% on shots from the field (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Spurs).
The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Spurs, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to treys, the Portland Trail Blazers's poor 33.8% rate of drained threes rates 4th-fewest in the league this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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