Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 22, 2025

Updated Dec 23, 2025 2:45 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has registered 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.2 more than he's registered in all games this season at home.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should increase possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.7 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

As it relates to treys, the Trail Blazers's feeble 33.7% rate of successful threes ranks 3rd-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one for field goals; when the Pistons are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (37.4%).

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