Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 20, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out best in in the NBA with 15.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers's poor 33.6% rate of made threes places 3rd-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-weakest in the league) against the Kings, creating a hard matchup.

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