Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 16.9 mark, Deni Avdija's points per game have spiked this year to 24.4.
The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%).
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the fastest pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 32.4% rate of made threes as the road team ranks 2nd-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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