Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has notched 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's notched overall this year.
Deni Avdija has successfully made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Deni Avdija has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 108.4 points per game while on the road measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Trail Blazers.
The matchup vs. the Kings may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Deni Avdija is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

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