Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Deni Avdija has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Deni Avdija has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%).
The 9th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 111.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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