Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has logged 14.1 points per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 28.6 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home (9th-least in the league).
Deni Avdija figures to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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