Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 14.1 points per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Deni Avdija has played 28.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
Deni Avdija should experience a decrease in production for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.

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