Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has totaled 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's totaled in all games this year.
Deni Avdija has converted 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have shot 45.6% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 110.2 points per game places 6th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the 76ers).
The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home (7th-least in the league).
Deni Avdija will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production for all stats.

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